NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI ORL
Points 107.2 110.4
Total Points   217.7
Points From 2-Pointers 57.9 54.1
Points From 3-Pointers 31.3 37.4
Points From Free Throws 18.1 18.9
Shooting CHI ORL
Field Goals Made 39.4 39.5
Field Goals Attempted 84.7 82.9
Field Goal % 46.5% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 29.0 27.1
2 Pointers Attempted 54.7 47.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 56.8%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 30.0 35.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 18.1 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 25.4
Free Throw % 80.1% 74.6%
Ball Control CHI ORL
Rebounds 44.8 49.5
Rebounds - Defensive 34.6 37.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 12.2
Turnovers 12.2 13.8
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.8
Steals 7.5 6.8
Fouls 19.0 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI ORL
Total Possessions 99.8
Effective Scoring Chances 97.7 98.3
% of Possessions with CHI ORL
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 31.0%
Player Fouled 18.7% 19.0%
Turnover 12.3% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI ORL
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 26.1%