NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI ORL
Points 107.4 109.4
Total Points   216.8
Points From 2-Pointers 59.0 53.2
Points From 3-Pointers 30.9 36.8
Points From Free Throws 17.5 19.5
Shooting CHI ORL
Field Goals Made 39.8 38.9
Field Goals Attempted 85.1 82.1
Field Goal % 46.8% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 29.5 26.6
2 Pointers Attempted 55.6 47.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 29.4 34.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 17.5 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 25.8
Free Throw % 79.2% 75.6%
Ball Control CHI ORL
Rebounds 45.8 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 35.1 36.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 11.4
Turnovers 12.4 13.6
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.7
Steals 7.9 6.9
Fouls 19.2 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI ORL
Total Possessions 99.7
Effective Scoring Chances 97.9 97.5
% of Possessions with CHI ORL
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 30.6%
Player Fouled 18.0% 19.3%
Turnover 12.5% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI ORL
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 24.5%