NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI ORL
Points 107.5 110.3
Total Points   217.8
Points From 2-Pointers 58.9 53.8
Points From 3-Pointers 31.0 37.2
Points From Free Throws 17.6 19.3
Shooting CHI ORL
Field Goals Made 39.8 39.3
Field Goals Attempted 84.8 82.3
Field Goal % 46.9% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 29.4 26.9
2 Pointers Attempted 55.4 47.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 29.4 34.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 17.6 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 25.4
Free Throw % 79.2% 75.9%
Ball Control CHI ORL
Rebounds 45.3 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 34.8 36.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 11.4
Turnovers 12.5 13.6
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.6
Steals 7.7 6.9
Fouls 19.1 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI ORL
Total Possessions 99.7
Effective Scoring Chances 97.7 97.5
% of Possessions with CHI ORL
2 Point Attempt 49.5% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 30.6%
Player Fouled 18.0% 19.2%
Turnover 12.5% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI ORL
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 24.7%