NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI DAL
Points 112.1 116.6
Total Points   228.6
Points From 2-Pointers 59.7 51.2
Points From 3-Pointers 35.3 47.4
Points From Free Throws 17.1 18.0
Shooting CHI DAL
Field Goals Made 41.6 41.4
Field Goals Attempted 90.9 86.2
Field Goal % 45.8% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 29.8 25.6
2 Pointers Attempted 58.4 43.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 15.8
3 Pointers Attempted 32.5 42.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 17.1 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 23.9
Free Throw % 79.2% 75.4%
Ball Control CHI DAL
Rebounds 50.2 49.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.6 38.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 10.3
Turnovers 10.9 11.7
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.7
Steals 7.1 5.6
Fouls 18.8 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI DAL
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 103.4 100.3
% of Possessions with CHI DAL
2 Point Attempt 50.3% 38.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 37.3%
Player Fouled 16.3% 18.5%
Turnover 10.7% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI DAL
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 21.6%