NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI IND
Points 117.7 122.4
Total Points   240.2
Points From 2-Pointers 69.1 62.9
Points From 3-Pointers 28.1 42.3
Points From Free Throws 20.5 17.2
Shooting CHI IND
Field Goals Made 43.9 45.6
Field Goals Attempted 90.3 89.7
Field Goal % 48.7% 50.8%
2 Pointers Made 34.6 31.5
2 Pointers Attempted 63.6 52.0
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 60.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 14.1
3 Pointers Attempted 26.6 37.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 20.5 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 25.9 22.0
Free Throw % 79.2% 78.0%
Ball Control CHI IND
Rebounds 48.7 46.6
Rebounds - Defensive 35.7 35.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 10.7
Turnovers 11.2 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.9 5.5
Steals 6.3 6.2
Fouls 17.3 19.2

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI IND
Total Possessions 103.3
Effective Scoring Chances 105.1 102.3
% of Possessions with CHI IND
2 Point Attempt 53.7% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 32.5%
Player Fouled 18.6% 16.7%
Turnover 10.8% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI IND
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 23.1%