NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI DET
Points 118.1 110.6
Total Points   228.7
Points From 2-Pointers 66.8 54.8
Points From 3-Pointers 32.5 37.8
Points From Free Throws 18.7 18.1
Shooting CHI DET
Field Goals Made 44.2 40.0
Field Goals Attempted 88.8 85.8
Field Goal % 49.8% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 33.4 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 58.9 50.4
2 Point Shooting % 56.7% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 10.8 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 29.9 35.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 18.7 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 23.1
Free Throw % 79.2% 78.3%
Ball Control CHI DET
Rebounds 48.0 47.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.1 36.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 11.0
Turnovers 10.4 13.8
Blocked Shots 5.6 4.1
Steals 8.4 5.6
Fouls 16.2 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI DET
Total Possessions 101.9
Effective Scoring Chances 102.5 99.1
% of Possessions with CHI DET
2 Point Attempt 51.4% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 30.7%
Player Fouled 17.8% 15.9%
Turnover 10.2% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI DET
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 22.9%