NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI OKC
Points 111.4 120.7
Total Points   232.1
Points From 2-Pointers 56.3 57.7
Points From 3-Pointers 36.9 44.3
Points From Free Throws 18.2 18.7
Shooting CHI OKC
Field Goals Made 40.5 43.6
Field Goals Attempted 90.3 86.9
Field Goal % 44.8% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made 28.1 28.9
2 Pointers Attempted 56.2 49.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 58.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 14.8
3 Pointers Attempted 34.1 37.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 18.2 18.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 22.7
Free Throw % 79.2% 82.2%
Ball Control CHI OKC
Rebounds 49.4 47.6
Rebounds - Defensive 35.7 38.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.7 9.4
Turnovers 12.5 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.8 6.0
Steals 6.9 6.9
Fouls 17.8 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI OKC
Total Possessions 102.4
Effective Scoring Chances 103.5 99.9
% of Possessions with CHI OKC
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 33.2%
Player Fouled 16.4% 17.4%
Turnover 12.2% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI OKC
Shot Blocked 7.1% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 20.9%