NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI MIN
Points 105.2 114.0
Total Points   219.2
Points From 2-Pointers 55.8 52.5
Points From 3-Pointers 31.7 42.6
Points From Free Throws 17.7 18.9
Shooting CHI MIN
Field Goals Made 38.5 40.4
Field Goals Attempted 87.8 82.7
Field Goal % 43.8% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 27.9 26.2
2 Pointers Attempted 58.0 46.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made 10.6 14.2
3 Pointers Attempted 29.8 36.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 39.3%
Free Throws Made 17.7 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 24.4
Free Throw % 79.3% 77.5%
Ball Control CHI MIN
Rebounds 47.0 49.4
Rebounds - Defensive 34.9 39.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 10.2
Turnovers 11.6 13.2
Blocked Shots 4.2 5.4
Steals 7.4 6.5
Fouls 18.7 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI MIN
Total Possessions 100.1
Effective Scoring Chances 100.6 97.1
% of Possessions with CHI MIN
2 Point Attempt 50.7% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 32.3%
Player Fouled 17.0% 18.7%
Turnover 11.6% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI MIN
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 22.6%