NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI POR
Points 117.1 108.4
Total Points   225.5
Points From 2-Pointers 66.8 53.2
Points From 3-Pointers 31.5 38.0
Points From Free Throws 18.8 17.2
Shooting CHI POR
Field Goals Made 43.9 39.3
Field Goals Attempted 87.4 87.9
Field Goal % 50.2% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 33.4 26.6
2 Pointers Attempted 56.8 51.8
2 Point Shooting % 58.8% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 10.5 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 30.6 36.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 18.8 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 21.6
Free Throw % 79.2% 79.4%
Ball Control CHI POR
Rebounds 48.7 47.7
Rebounds - Defensive 36.7 33.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 13.8
Turnovers 11.3 13.8
Blocked Shots 5.9 4.0
Steals 8.3 6.1
Fouls 16.2 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI POR
Total Possessions 100.7
Effective Scoring Chances 101.4 100.7
% of Possessions with CHI POR
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 30.9%
Player Fouled 18.0% 16.1%
Turnover 11.3% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI POR
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 27.3%