NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI GS
Points 113.9 117.8
Total Points   231.7
Points From 2-Pointers 53.6 55.6
Points From 3-Pointers 44.8 44.9
Points From Free Throws 15.5 17.3
Shooting CHI GS
Field Goals Made 41.7 42.8
Field Goals Attempted 90.8 95.0
Field Goal % 46.0% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 26.8 27.8
2 Pointers Attempted 49.3 50.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made 14.9 15.0
3 Pointers Attempted 41.5 44.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 15.5 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 22.8
Free Throw % 80.8% 75.9%
Ball Control CHI GS
Rebounds 51.0 54.3
Rebounds - Defensive 40.5 39.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 14.3
Turnovers 14.0 11.2
Blocked Shots 5.0 5.6
Steals 6.3 8.0
Fouls 15.6 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI GS
Total Possessions 105.2
Effective Scoring Chances 101.7 108.3
% of Possessions with CHI GS
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 35.2% 36.3%
Player Fouled 14.8% 14.9%
Turnover 13.3% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI GS
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 26.1%