NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI GS
Points 115.5 120.3
Total Points   235.8
Points From 2-Pointers 57.4 55.9
Points From 3-Pointers 42.0 47.5
Points From Free Throws 16.1 16.9
Shooting CHI GS
Field Goals Made 42.7 43.8
Field Goals Attempted 88.9 92.1
Field Goal % 48.1% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 28.7 28.0
2 Pointers Attempted 49.5 47.5
2 Point Shooting % 58.1% 58.8%
3 Pointers Made 14.0 15.8
3 Pointers Attempted 39.4 44.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 16.1 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 21.2
Free Throw % 77.4% 80.0%
Ball Control CHI GS
Rebounds 49.3 49.3
Rebounds - Defensive 37.8 36.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 12.5
Turnovers 15.4 12.9
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.8
Steals 7.4 9.6
Fouls 16.3 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI GS
Total Possessions 105.2
Effective Scoring Chances 101.3 104.8
% of Possessions with CHI GS
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 39.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 37.3%
Player Fouled 15.8% 15.4%
Turnover 14.6% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI GS
Shot Blocked 5.3% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 24.8%