NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE MIL
Points 113.2 115.0
Total Points   228.2
Points From 2-Pointers 56.0 55.5
Points From 3-Pointers 41.6 41.0
Points From Free Throws 15.7 18.5
Shooting CLE MIL
Field Goals Made 41.8 41.4
Field Goals Attempted 89.4 85.9
Field Goal % 46.8% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 28.0 27.7
2 Pointers Attempted 51.3 49.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.9 13.7
3 Pointers Attempted 38.1 36.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 15.7 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 23.7
Free Throw % 75.9% 78.1%
Ball Control CLE MIL
Rebounds 48.3 48.8
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 39.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 9.7
Turnovers 10.9 11.3
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.4
Steals 6.1 6.5
Fouls 17.0 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE MIL
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 101.3 99.7
% of Possessions with CLE MIL
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 33.4% 32.1%
Player Fouled 17.4% 16.8%
Turnover 10.8% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE MIL
Shot Blocked 5.2% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 20.5%