NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE CHI
Points 113.1 110.5
Total Points   223.6
Points From 2-Pointers 50.8 59.7
Points From 3-Pointers 45.8 34.7
Points From Free Throws 16.5 16.1
Shooting CLE CHI
Field Goals Made 40.6 41.4
Field Goals Attempted 85.0 88.5
Field Goal % 47.8% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 25.4 29.9
2 Pointers Attempted 44.2 57.2
2 Point Shooting % 57.4% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 15.3 11.6
3 Pointers Attempted 40.8 31.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 16.5 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 20.3
Free Throw % 76.2% 79.2%
Ball Control CLE CHI
Rebounds 47.9 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 36.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 11.6
Turnovers 12.6 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.8
Steals 6.1 7.5
Fouls 15.6 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE CHI
Total Possessions 99.8
Effective Scoring Chances 97.6 100.4
% of Possessions with CLE CHI
2 Point Attempt 39.4% 50.6%
3 Point Attempt 36.4% 27.7%
Player Fouled 17.5% 15.6%
Turnover 12.7% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE CHI
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 23.6%