NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE LAC
Points 111.6 113.1
Total Points   224.7
Points From 2-Pointers 54.7 57.6
Points From 3-Pointers 41.4 37.6
Points From Free Throws 15.5 17.9
Shooting CLE LAC
Field Goals Made 41.2 41.4
Field Goals Attempted 87.3 85.2
Field Goal % 47.1% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 27.3 28.8
2 Pointers Attempted 49.7 53.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.0% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.8 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 37.6 32.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 15.5 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 21.4
Free Throw % 76.2% 83.5%
Ball Control CLE LAC
Rebounds 46.4 47.6
Rebounds - Defensive 34.9 37.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 10.6
Turnovers 11.6 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.6
Steals 6.6 7.1
Fouls 15.6 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE LAC
Total Possessions 99.3
Effective Scoring Chances 99.1 97.8
% of Possessions with CLE LAC
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 33.4% 28.8%
Player Fouled 16.9% 15.8%
Turnover 11.7% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE LAC
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 23.2%