NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE MEM
Points 112.9 103.8
Total Points   216.8
Points From 2-Pointers 54.0 49.0
Points From 3-Pointers 42.5 38.7
Points From Free Throws 16.4 16.1
Shooting CLE MEM
Field Goals Made 41.2 37.4
Field Goals Attempted 85.5 86.5
Field Goal % 48.1% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 27.0 24.5
2 Pointers Attempted 47.8 50.2
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 14.2 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 37.7 36.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 16.4 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 21.1
Free Throw % 76.0% 76.6%
Ball Control CLE MEM
Rebounds 50.4 47.5
Rebounds - Defensive 39.1 35.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 12.2
Turnovers 13.9 13.8
Blocked Shots 5.5 6.0
Steals 7.4 8.0
Fouls 15.8 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE MEM
Total Possessions 100.4
Effective Scoring Chances 97.9 98.8
% of Possessions with CLE MEM
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 33.0% 31.6%
Player Fouled 17.4% 15.8%
Turnover 13.8% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE MEM
Shot Blocked 7.1% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 23.7%