NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE CHA
Points 114.7 104.1
Total Points   218.9
Points From 2-Pointers 56.7 53.3
Points From 3-Pointers 43.1 36.7
Points From Free Throws 14.9 14.1
Shooting CLE CHA
Field Goals Made 42.7 38.9
Field Goals Attempted 85.8 85.2
Field Goal % 49.8% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 28.4 26.7
2 Pointers Attempted 47.4 51.4
2 Point Shooting % 59.8% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 14.4 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 38.3 33.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 14.9 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 17.9
Free Throw % 76.0% 78.9%
Ball Control CLE CHA
Rebounds 49.7 43.6
Rebounds - Defensive 38.7 34.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 9.3
Turnovers 12.6 12.7
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.2
Steals 6.5 6.6
Fouls 14.9 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE CHA
Total Possessions 99.0
Effective Scoring Chances 97.4 95.6
% of Possessions with CLE CHA
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 34.3% 30.7%
Player Fouled 16.4% 15.1%
Turnover 12.7% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE CHA
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 19.3%