NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE ORL
Points 106.4 106.0
Total Points   212.4
Points From 2-Pointers 53.3 56.5
Points From 3-Pointers 36.5 31.7
Points From Free Throws 16.5 17.9
Shooting CLE ORL
Field Goals Made 38.8 38.8
Field Goals Attempted 82.3 82.8
Field Goal % 47.2% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 26.6 28.2
2 Pointers Attempted 47.9 53.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 34.4 29.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 16.5 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 23.9
Free Throw % 75.9% 74.6%
Ball Control CLE ORL
Rebounds 45.3 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 35.8 36.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 11.4
Turnovers 13.7 13.3
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.9
Steals 7.2 7.9
Fouls 18.0 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Orlando

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE ORL
Total Possessions 99.1
Effective Scoring Chances 94.9 97.2
% of Possessions with CLE ORL
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 26.6%
Player Fouled 18.7% 18.1%
Turnover 13.8% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE ORL
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 24.2%