NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE DAL
Points 112.4 114.4
Total Points   226.8
Points From 2-Pointers 54.7 55.7
Points From 3-Pointers 41.5 42.4
Points From Free Throws 16.1 16.3
Shooting CLE DAL
Field Goals Made 41.2 42.0
Field Goals Attempted 87.8 87.2
Field Goal % 46.9% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 27.4 27.9
2 Pointers Attempted 50.7 49.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.8 14.1
3 Pointers Attempted 37.1 37.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 16.1 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 21.6
Free Throw % 76.1% 75.6%
Ball Control CLE DAL
Rebounds 48.9 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.9 38.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 10.1
Turnovers 12.4 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.9
Steals 6.7 6.4
Fouls 17.1 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE DAL
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 100.1 100.0
% of Possessions with CLE DAL
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 32.4% 33.1%
Player Fouled 16.6% 16.8%
Turnover 12.2% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE DAL
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 21.1%