NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE DAL
Points 111.5 113.0
Total Points   224.5
Points From 2-Pointers 54.1 54.4
Points From 3-Pointers 41.3 41.9
Points From Free Throws 16.2 16.7
Shooting CLE DAL
Field Goals Made 40.8 41.1
Field Goals Attempted 87.8 86.7
Field Goal % 46.5% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 27.1 27.2
2 Pointers Attempted 50.7 49.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 55.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.8 14.0
3 Pointers Attempted 37.1 37.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 16.2 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 22.2
Free Throw % 76.0% 75.4%
Ball Control CLE DAL
Rebounds 49.5 48.3
Rebounds - Defensive 38.2 38.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 10.2
Turnovers 12.3 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.5 5.0
Steals 6.7 6.5
Fouls 17.2 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE DAL
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 100.1 99.8
% of Possessions with CLE DAL
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.4% 33.0%
Player Fouled 16.8% 17.0%
Turnover 12.2% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE DAL
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 21.1%