NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE BK
Points 103.7 121.0
Total Points   224.6
Points From 2-Pointers 55.1 63.8
Points From 3-Pointers 30.7 40.1
Points From Free Throws 17.9 17.0
Shooting CLE BK
Field Goals Made 37.8 45.3
Field Goals Attempted 86.4 86.0
Field Goal % 43.7% 52.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.6 31.9
2 Pointers Attempted 55.0 52.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 60.6%
3 Pointers Made 10.2 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 31.4 33.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 40.0%
Free Throws Made 17.9 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.8 21.0
Free Throw % 75.2% 81.3%
Ball Control CLE BK
Rebounds 45.4 48.5
Rebounds - Defensive 33.1 39.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 9.5
Turnovers 12.9 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.4 6.0
Steals 6.7 7.1
Fouls 16.1 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE BK
Total Possessions 100.7
Effective Scoring Chances 100.0 98.1
% of Possessions with CLE BK
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 29.8%
Player Fouled 18.2% 16.0%
Turnover 12.8% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE BK
Shot Blocked 7.1% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 22.3%