NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE IND
Points 122.1 116.0
Total Points   238.1
Points From 2-Pointers 59.3 58.1
Points From 3-Pointers 45.1 40.8
Points From Free Throws 17.8 17.0
Shooting CLE IND
Field Goals Made 44.7 42.7
Field Goals Attempted 91.0 89.4
Field Goal % 49.1% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 29.6 29.1
2 Pointers Attempted 51.4 53.1
2 Point Shooting % 57.6% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 15.0 13.6
3 Pointers Attempted 39.6 36.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 17.8 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 21.4
Free Throw % 77.7% 79.7%
Ball Control CLE IND
Rebounds 51.6 46.0
Rebounds - Defensive 38.3 35.5
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 10.5
Turnovers 12.3 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.7
Steals 6.4 7.1
Fouls 16.6 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE IND
Total Possessions 103.5
Effective Scoring Chances 104.5 102.0
% of Possessions with CLE IND
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 33.3% 31.4%
Player Fouled 16.6% 16.1%
Turnover 11.9% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE IND
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 21.6%