NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE IND
Points 121.3 111.1
Total Points   232.4
Points From 2-Pointers 63.4 52.9
Points From 3-Pointers 37.0 40.4
Points From Free Throws 20.9 17.8
Shooting CLE IND
Field Goals Made 44.1 39.9
Field Goals Attempted 89.1 88.7
Field Goal % 49.5% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 31.7 26.4
2 Pointers Attempted 53.8 52.1
2 Point Shooting % 59.0% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 13.5
3 Pointers Attempted 35.3 36.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 20.9 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 26.6 23.2
Free Throw % 78.5% 76.6%
Ball Control CLE IND
Rebounds 52.9 46.5
Rebounds - Defensive 40.1 35.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 11.4
Turnovers 12.8 14.0
Blocked Shots 4.8 4.1
Steals 7.5 7.4
Fouls 18.4 19.4

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE IND
Total Possessions 105.0
Effective Scoring Chances 105.0 102.4
% of Possessions with CLE IND
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 30.9%
Player Fouled 18.5% 17.5%
Turnover 12.2% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE IND
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 22.1%