NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE TOR
Points 119.5 109.4
Total Points   228.8
Points From 2-Pointers 61.1 59.3
Points From 3-Pointers 43.4 34.1
Points From Free Throws 15.0 16.0
Shooting CLE TOR
Field Goals Made 45.0 41.0
Field Goals Attempted 88.9 88.0
Field Goal % 50.6% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 30.5 29.6
2 Pointers Attempted 50.6 56.0
2 Point Shooting % 60.4% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 14.5 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 38.3 32.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 15.0 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 20.9
Free Throw % 76.1% 76.6%
Ball Control CLE TOR
Rebounds 49.7 45.7
Rebounds - Defensive 38.0 34.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 11.3
Turnovers 12.8 12.8
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.4
Steals 6.6 7.4
Fouls 15.2 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE TOR
Total Possessions 101.6
Effective Scoring Chances 100.5 100.1
% of Possessions with CLE TOR
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 33.3% 27.8%
Player Fouled 16.7% 14.9%
Turnover 12.6% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE TOR
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 22.9%