NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE SA
Points 113.8 109.8
Total Points   223.6
Points From 2-Pointers 60.3 57.2
Points From 3-Pointers 38.9 37.7
Points From Free Throws 14.6 14.9
Shooting CLE SA
Field Goals Made 43.1 41.2
Field Goals Attempted 90.3 88.2
Field Goal % 47.7% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 30.2 28.6
2 Pointers Attempted 55.2 53.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 13.0 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 35.1 34.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 14.6 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 19.2
Free Throw % 76.2% 77.6%
Ball Control CLE SA
Rebounds 48.8 49.4
Rebounds - Defensive 38.1 38.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 11.0
Turnovers 12.1 13.6
Blocked Shots 4.0 6.0
Steals 8.0 6.7
Fouls 14.9 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE SA
Total Possessions 102.3
Effective Scoring Chances 100.9 99.7
% of Possessions with CLE SA
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 30.2%
Player Fouled 15.1% 14.6%
Turnover 11.9% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE SA
Shot Blocked 6.9% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 22.5%