NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE OKC
Points 110.7 115.9
Total Points   226.6
Points From 2-Pointers 49.6 60.8
Points From 3-Pointers 44.1 37.7
Points From Free Throws 17.0 17.4
Shooting CLE OKC
Field Goals Made 39.5 43.0
Field Goals Attempted 87.3 87.7
Field Goal % 45.2% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made 24.8 30.4
2 Pointers Attempted 47.7 55.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 14.7 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 39.7 32.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 17.0 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 21.0
Free Throw % 75.9% 82.8%
Ball Control CLE OKC
Rebounds 49.5 47.0
Rebounds - Defensive 36.9 37.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 9.3
Turnovers 14.0 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.4 6.4
Steals 6.3 7.7
Fouls 16.8 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE OKC
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 100.2 99.6
% of Possessions with CLE OKC
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 34.0% 28.9%
Player Fouled 16.9% 16.5%
Turnover 13.8% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE OKC
Shot Blocked 7.4% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 20.1%