NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE OKC
Points 110.1 117.2
Total Points   227.3
Points From 2-Pointers 49.8 60.6
Points From 3-Pointers 43.3 39.4
Points From Free Throws 17.0 17.2
Shooting CLE OKC
Field Goals Made 39.3 43.4
Field Goals Attempted 87.0 87.4
Field Goal % 45.2% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 24.9 30.3
2 Pointers Attempted 48.1 54.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 14.4 13.1
3 Pointers Attempted 38.9 32.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 17.0 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 20.9
Free Throw % 76.1% 82.2%
Ball Control CLE OKC
Rebounds 48.3 47.2
Rebounds - Defensive 36.2 37.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 9.3
Turnovers 14.1 11.8
Blocked Shots 4.3 6.4
Steals 6.6 7.9
Fouls 16.1 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE OKC
Total Possessions 101.8
Effective Scoring Chances 99.7 99.4
% of Possessions with CLE OKC
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 33.4% 29.2%
Player Fouled 16.7% 15.8%
Turnover 13.9% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE OKC
Shot Blocked 7.5% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 20.5%