NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE WAS
Points 120.5 110.3
Total Points   230.8
Points From 2-Pointers 65.4 58.4
Points From 3-Pointers 37.2 36.7
Points From Free Throws 18.0 15.2
Shooting CLE WAS
Field Goals Made 45.1 41.4
Field Goals Attempted 89.1 89.0
Field Goal % 50.6% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 32.7 29.2
2 Pointers Attempted 54.4 54.5
2 Point Shooting % 60.1% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.4 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.7 34.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 18.0 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 19.8
Free Throw % 76.0% 76.8%
Ball Control CLE WAS
Rebounds 52.1 44.4
Rebounds - Defensive 40.1 34.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 9.5
Turnovers 12.5 12.8
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.8
Steals 7.3 7.0
Fouls 15.3 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE WAS
Total Possessions 103.4
Effective Scoring Chances 103.0 100.1
% of Possessions with CLE WAS
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 29.9%
Player Fouled 17.8% 14.8%
Turnover 12.1% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE WAS
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 19.2%