NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE WAS
Points 120.2 109.1
Total Points   229.2
Points From 2-Pointers 64.7 59.1
Points From 3-Pointers 37.9 34.9
Points From Free Throws 17.5 15.1
Shooting CLE WAS
Field Goals Made 45.0 41.2
Field Goals Attempted 89.4 89.3
Field Goal % 50.3% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 32.4 29.5
2 Pointers Attempted 54.0 55.8
2 Point Shooting % 59.9% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 11.6
3 Pointers Attempted 35.4 33.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 17.5 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 19.7
Free Throw % 75.9% 76.3%
Ball Control CLE WAS
Rebounds 52.6 44.8
Rebounds - Defensive 40.3 34.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 9.9
Turnovers 12.4 12.6
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.8
Steals 6.9 7.1
Fouls 15.4 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE WAS
Total Possessions 103.1
Effective Scoring Chances 102.9 100.4
% of Possessions with CLE WAS
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 29.1%
Player Fouled 17.3% 14.9%
Turnover 12.1% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE WAS
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 19.7%