NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS PHI
Points 117.7 106.7
Total Points   224.3
Points From 2-Pointers 53.2 53.3
Points From 3-Pointers 47.1 38.0
Points From Free Throws 17.4 15.3
Shooting BOS PHI
Field Goals Made 42.3 39.3
Field Goals Attempted 88.5 93.8
Field Goal % 47.8% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 26.6 26.7
2 Pointers Attempted 47.6 57.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.9% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 15.7 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 41.0 36.0
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 17.4 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 18.7
Free Throw % 79.2% 81.9%
Ball Control BOS PHI
Rebounds 54.5 48.9
Rebounds - Defensive 41.4 35.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 13.7
Turnovers 11.1 9.6
Blocked Shots 7.6 4.7
Steals 5.3 5.9
Fouls 14.0 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Boston

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS PHI
Total Possessions 99.4
Effective Scoring Chances 101.4 103.5
% of Possessions with BOS PHI
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 35.8% 31.0%
Player Fouled 16.6% 14.1%
Turnover 11.2% 9.7%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS PHI
Shot Blocked 5.2% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 24.9%