NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS PHI
Points 117.6 107.0
Total Points   224.7
Points From 2-Pointers 53.6 53.7
Points From 3-Pointers 46.7 37.9
Points From Free Throws 17.3 15.4
Shooting BOS PHI
Field Goals Made 42.4 39.5
Field Goals Attempted 88.6 94.1
Field Goal % 47.9% 41.9%
2 Pointers Made 26.8 26.8
2 Pointers Attempted 47.6 58.2
2 Point Shooting % 56.4% 46.1%
3 Pointers Made 15.6 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 41.0 35.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 17.3 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 18.9
Free Throw % 79.1% 81.9%
Ball Control BOS PHI
Rebounds 54.4 49.3
Rebounds - Defensive 41.4 35.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 13.9
Turnovers 11.3 9.7
Blocked Shots 7.5 4.8
Steals 5.3 6.0
Fouls 14.1 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Boston

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS PHI
Total Possessions 99.7
Effective Scoring Chances 101.4 104.0
% of Possessions with BOS PHI
2 Point Attempt 41.5% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 35.8% 30.8%
Player Fouled 16.6% 14.1%
Turnover 11.3% 9.7%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS PHI
Shot Blocked 5.2% 8.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 25.2%