NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS MIL
Points 120.3 113.7
Total Points   234.0
Points From 2-Pointers 54.2 54.2
Points From 3-Pointers 49.1 44.2
Points From Free Throws 17.0 15.3
Shooting BOS MIL
Field Goals Made 43.5 41.8
Field Goals Attempted 91.9 92.1
Field Goal % 47.3% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 27.1 27.1
2 Pointers Attempted 49.2 51.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 16.4 14.7
3 Pointers Attempted 42.7 40.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 17.0 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 19.8
Free Throw % 80.8% 77.5%
Ball Control BOS MIL
Rebounds 52.6 49.9
Rebounds - Defensive 41.0 38.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 11.1
Turnovers 9.5 10.2
Blocked Shots 5.3 3.4
Steals 5.7 5.0
Fouls 15.4 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS MIL
Total Possessions 102.1
Effective Scoring Chances 104.2 103.1
% of Possessions with BOS MIL
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 37.1% 35.0%
Player Fouled 16.3% 15.1%
Turnover 9.3% 10.0%
Opponent Steal 4.9% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS MIL
Shot Blocked 3.8% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 21.3%