NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS MIL
Points 116.3 112.8
Total Points   229.2
Points From 2-Pointers 53.6 53.2
Points From 3-Pointers 47.4 45.0
Points From Free Throws 15.3 14.7
Shooting BOS MIL
Field Goals Made 42.6 41.6
Field Goals Attempted 93.2 91.8
Field Goal % 45.7% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 26.8 26.6
2 Pointers Attempted 51.3 51.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 15.8 15.0
3 Pointers Attempted 41.9 40.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 15.3 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 19.7
Free Throw % 80.2% 74.7%
Ball Control BOS MIL
Rebounds 51.9 53.0
Rebounds - Defensive 40.9 41.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 11.7
Turnovers 10.2 11.8
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.1
Steals 5.5 5.3
Fouls 15.8 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS MIL
Total Possessions 103.4
Effective Scoring Chances 104.1 103.3
% of Possessions with BOS MIL
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 36.1% 34.7%
Player Fouled 14.8% 15.3%
Turnover 9.9% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS MIL
Shot Blocked 4.6% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.9% 22.2%