NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS CHI
Points 120.0 107.1
Total Points   227.1
Points From 2-Pointers 48.2 57.4
Points From 3-Pointers 55.4 36.4
Points From Free Throws 16.4 13.3
Shooting BOS CHI
Field Goals Made 42.6 40.8
Field Goals Attempted 88.1 94.0
Field Goal % 48.3% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 24.1 28.7
2 Pointers Attempted 41.4 59.5
2 Point Shooting % 58.1% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 18.5 12.1
3 Pointers Attempted 46.7 34.5
3 Point Shooting % 39.6% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 16.4 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 16.8
Free Throw % 79.1% 79.3%
Ball Control BOS CHI
Rebounds 52.6 49.4
Rebounds - Defensive 41.1 36.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 13.2
Turnovers 10.9 9.8
Blocked Shots 5.9 3.7
Steals 5.7 5.9
Fouls 14.2 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Boston

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS CHI
Total Possessions 99.8
Effective Scoring Chances 100.4 103.2
% of Possessions with BOS CHI
2 Point Attempt 36.7% 51.6%
3 Point Attempt 41.4% 29.9%
Player Fouled 15.7% 14.3%
Turnover 10.9% 9.8%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS CHI
Shot Blocked 4.0% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 24.3%