NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS CLE
Points 116.6 107.0
Total Points   223.5
Points From 2-Pointers 52.1 52.3
Points From 3-Pointers 49.2 42.0
Points From Free Throws 15.2 12.6
Shooting BOS CLE
Field Goals Made 42.5 40.2
Field Goals Attempted 88.6 91.3
Field Goal % 48.0% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 26.1 26.2
2 Pointers Attempted 47.3 52.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 16.4 14.0
3 Pointers Attempted 41.3 39.3
3 Point Shooting % 39.8% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 15.2 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 16.6
Free Throw % 79.2% 76.0%
Ball Control BOS CLE
Rebounds 51.9 48.7
Rebounds - Defensive 40.5 36.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 12.0
Turnovers 10.7 11.0
Blocked Shots 6.3 3.3
Steals 6.5 5.5
Fouls 14.5 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS CLE
Total Possessions 99.3
Effective Scoring Chances 100.0 100.3
% of Possessions with BOS CLE
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 36.8% 34.6%
Player Fouled 14.3% 14.7%
Turnover 10.7% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS CLE
Shot Blocked 3.7% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 22.9%