NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS LAC
Points 120.2 111.0
Total Points   231.2
Points From 2-Pointers 52.3 55.9
Points From 3-Pointers 51.8 39.8
Points From Free Throws 16.1 15.3
Shooting BOS LAC
Field Goals Made 43.4 41.2
Field Goals Attempted 90.1 90.5
Field Goal % 48.2% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 26.2 27.9
2 Pointers Attempted 47.0 55.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 17.3 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 43.1 35.5
3 Point Shooting % 40.0% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 16.1 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 18.5
Free Throw % 80.7% 82.9%
Ball Control BOS LAC
Rebounds 51.3 47.6
Rebounds - Defensive 38.5 35.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 11.8
Turnovers 10.2 10.5
Blocked Shots 5.7 3.7
Steals 5.8 5.7
Fouls 15.0 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS LAC
Total Possessions 99.4
Effective Scoring Chances 102.0 100.7
% of Possessions with BOS LAC
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 38.0% 31.3%
Player Fouled 15.7% 15.1%
Turnover 10.2% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS LAC
Shot Blocked 4.1% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 23.5%