NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS ATL
Points 127.8 111.1
Total Points   238.9
Points From 2-Pointers 57.5 53.6
Points From 3-Pointers 54.1 43.0
Points From Free Throws 16.2 14.6
Shooting BOS ATL
Field Goals Made 46.8 41.1
Field Goals Attempted 90.5 95.9
Field Goal % 51.7% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 28.7 26.8
2 Pointers Attempted 47.2 56.0
2 Point Shooting % 60.9% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 18.0 14.3
3 Pointers Attempted 43.4 39.9
3 Point Shooting % 41.6% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 16.2 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 18.6
Free Throw % 79.1% 78.3%
Ball Control BOS ATL
Rebounds 52.9 49.1
Rebounds - Defensive 41.4 34.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 14.7
Turnovers 10.9 10.8
Blocked Shots 6.9 3.4
Steals 6.4 5.5
Fouls 14.7 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS ATL
Total Possessions 102.2
Effective Scoring Chances 102.8 106.1
% of Possessions with BOS ATL
2 Point Attempt 41.0% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 37.7% 33.3%
Player Fouled 15.2% 14.3%
Turnover 10.7% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS ATL
Shot Blocked 3.6% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 26.2%