NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS SAC
Points 118.9 110.8
Total Points   229.7
Points From 2-Pointers 51.7 54.4
Points From 3-Pointers 50.2 43.8
Points From Free Throws 17.0 12.6
Shooting BOS SAC
Field Goals Made 42.6 41.8
Field Goals Attempted 87.7 94.7
Field Goal % 48.6% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 25.8 27.2
2 Pointers Attempted 46.5 53.9
2 Point Shooting % 55.5% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 16.7 14.6
3 Pointers Attempted 41.1 40.8
3 Point Shooting % 40.7% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 17.0 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 16.9
Free Throw % 79.1% 74.7%
Ball Control BOS SAC
Rebounds 51.4 50.7
Rebounds - Defensive 41.1 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 13.6
Turnovers 11.0 10.3
Blocked Shots 5.0 3.4
Steals 6.0 5.8
Fouls 14.2 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS SAC
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 100.4 104.3
% of Possessions with BOS SAC
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 36.5% 35.0%
Player Fouled 16.3% 14.0%
Turnover 10.9% 10.2%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS SAC
Shot Blocked 3.6% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 24.8%