NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS SAC
Points 119.0 110.4
Total Points   229.4
Points From 2-Pointers 52.0 54.3
Points From 3-Pointers 50.1 43.6
Points From Free Throws 16.9 12.5
Shooting BOS SAC
Field Goals Made 42.7 41.7
Field Goals Attempted 87.6 94.5
Field Goal % 48.7% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 26.0 27.2
2 Pointers Attempted 46.7 53.8
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 16.7 14.5
3 Pointers Attempted 40.9 40.8
3 Point Shooting % 40.9% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 16.9 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 16.7
Free Throw % 79.2% 74.6%
Ball Control BOS SAC
Rebounds 51.5 50.3
Rebounds - Defensive 41.1 36.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 13.5
Turnovers 11.0 10.4
Blocked Shots 5.1 3.4
Steals 6.1 5.8
Fouls 14.1 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS SAC
Total Possessions 100.9
Effective Scoring Chances 100.2 104.0
% of Possessions with BOS SAC
2 Point Attempt 41.5% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 36.3% 35.0%
Player Fouled 16.3% 14.0%
Turnover 10.9% 10.3%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS SAC
Shot Blocked 3.6% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 24.8%