NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS NY
Points 116.5 108.0
Total Points   224.5
Points From 2-Pointers 52.9 52.3
Points From 3-Pointers 48.6 41.9
Points From Free Throws 14.9 13.8
Shooting BOS NY
Field Goals Made 42.7 40.1
Field Goals Attempted 88.0 93.6
Field Goal % 48.5% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 26.4 26.2
2 Pointers Attempted 46.2 55.2
2 Point Shooting % 57.3% 47.4%
3 Pointers Made 16.2 14.0
3 Pointers Attempted 41.8 38.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 14.9 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 17.7
Free Throw % 79.1% 78.1%
Ball Control BOS NY
Rebounds 50.6 51.4
Rebounds - Defensive 38.7 35.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 16.0
Turnovers 10.6 10.4
Blocked Shots 6.3 3.4
Steals 5.5 5.6
Fouls 14.3 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS NY
Total Possessions 98.0
Effective Scoring Chances 99.3 103.6
% of Possessions with BOS NY
2 Point Attempt 41.5% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 37.6% 32.9%
Player Fouled 15.0% 14.6%
Turnover 10.8% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS NY
Shot Blocked 3.7% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 29.2%