NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS LAL
Points 123.5 111.8
Total Points   235.3
Points From 2-Pointers 54.8 60.7
Points From 3-Pointers 54.5 36.0
Points From Free Throws 14.2 15.2
Shooting BOS LAL
Field Goals Made 45.6 42.3
Field Goals Attempted 94.8 90.7
Field Goal % 48.1% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 27.4 30.3
2 Pointers Attempted 49.3 58.3
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 18.2 12.0
3 Pointers Attempted 45.5 32.4
3 Point Shooting % 39.9% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 14.2 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 19.7
Free Throw % 80.7% 77.1%
Ball Control BOS LAL
Rebounds 53.1 47.7
Rebounds - Defensive 40.5 38.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 9.7
Turnovers 10.1 11.0
Blocked Shots 6.2 3.8
Steals 6.5 5.2
Fouls 15.7 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS LAL
Total Possessions 102.6
Effective Scoring Chances 105.1 101.3
% of Possessions with BOS LAL
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 50.8%
3 Point Attempt 39.0% 28.2%
Player Fouled 12.9% 15.3%
Turnover 9.9% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS LAL
Shot Blocked 4.2% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 19.3%