NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS LAL
Points 121.5 111.0
Total Points   232.5
Points From 2-Pointers 54.6 58.9
Points From 3-Pointers 53.8 37.5
Points From Free Throws 13.1 14.6
Shooting BOS LAL
Field Goals Made 45.2 41.9
Field Goals Attempted 94.2 90.2
Field Goal % 48.0% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 27.3 29.4
2 Pointers Attempted 49.3 56.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.4% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 17.9 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 44.9 33.5
3 Point Shooting % 39.9% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 13.1 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 18.8
Free Throw % 79.1% 77.8%
Ball Control BOS LAL
Rebounds 52.4 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 40.2 38.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 9.7
Turnovers 10.2 11.4
Blocked Shots 6.1 3.8
Steals 6.9 5.3
Fouls 15.3 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Boston

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS LAL
Total Possessions 102.0
Effective Scoring Chances 104.0 100.3
% of Possessions with BOS LAL
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 38.8% 29.3%
Player Fouled 12.5% 15.0%
Turnover 10.0% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS LAL
Shot Blocked 4.3% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 19.4%