NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS LAL
Points 122.0 111.1
Total Points   233.1
Points From 2-Pointers 54.7 59.6
Points From 3-Pointers 54.1 36.9
Points From Free Throws 13.1 14.6
Shooting BOS LAL
Field Goals Made 45.4 42.1
Field Goals Attempted 94.4 90.4
Field Goal % 48.1% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.4 29.8
2 Pointers Attempted 49.3 57.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.5% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 18.0 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 45.2 33.3
3 Point Shooting % 40.0% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 13.1 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 18.8
Free Throw % 79.2% 77.8%
Ball Control BOS LAL
Rebounds 52.5 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 40.2 38.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 9.7
Turnovers 10.2 11.3
Blocked Shots 6.0 3.8
Steals 6.8 5.2
Fouls 15.3 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Boston

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS LAL
Total Possessions 102.1
Effective Scoring Chances 104.2 100.5
% of Possessions with BOS LAL
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 50.0%
3 Point Attempt 39.0% 29.1%
Player Fouled 12.4% 15.0%
Turnover 10.0% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS LAL
Shot Blocked 4.3% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 19.5%