NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS LAL
Points 115.9 109.9
Total Points   225.8
Points From 2-Pointers 54.8 50.9
Points From 3-Pointers 47.8 39.0
Points From Free Throws 13.3 20.1
Shooting BOS LAL
Field Goals Made 43.3 38.4
Field Goals Attempted 92.2 82.5
Field Goal % 47.0% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.4 25.4
2 Pointers Attempted 48.5 45.9
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 15.9 13.0
3 Pointers Attempted 43.7 36.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 13.3 20.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 26.4
Free Throw % 78.6% 76.0%
Ball Control BOS LAL
Rebounds 50.5 47.6
Rebounds - Defensive 36.0 36.1
Rebounds - Offensive 14.5 11.5
Turnovers 10.9 12.3
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.2
Steals 7.4 5.3
Fouls 19.5 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Boston

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS LAL
Total Possessions 99.1
Effective Scoring Chances 102.7 98.3
% of Possessions with BOS LAL
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 38.0% 32.7%
Player Fouled 15.7% 19.7%
Turnover 11.0% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS LAL
Shot Blocked 3.9% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 24.1%