NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS LAL
Points 113.3 107.5
Total Points   220.8
Points From 2-Pointers 45.4 52.4
Points From 3-Pointers 52.4 39.3
Points From Free Throws 15.5 15.7
Shooting BOS LAL
Field Goals Made 40.2 39.3
Field Goals Attempted 90.8 87.4
Field Goal % 44.2% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 22.7 26.2
2 Pointers Attempted 41.1 50.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 17.5 13.1
3 Pointers Attempted 49.7 37.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 15.5 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 20.1
Free Throw % 81.0% 78.3%
Ball Control BOS LAL
Rebounds 51.6 50.7
Rebounds - Defensive 38.7 39.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 11.2
Turnovers 10.3 12.0
Blocked Shots 5.0 3.3
Steals 7.1 5.8
Fouls 15.5 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS LAL
Total Possessions 99.7
Effective Scoring Chances 102.3 99.0
% of Possessions with BOS LAL
2 Point Attempt 36.1% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 43.6% 32.7%
Player Fouled 15.0% 15.6%
Turnover 10.3% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS LAL
Shot Blocked 3.9% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 22.5%