NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS ORL
Points 112.9 103.6
Total Points   216.5
Points From 2-Pointers 52.5 53.9
Points From 3-Pointers 44.0 34.9
Points From Free Throws 16.5 14.8
Shooting BOS ORL
Field Goals Made 40.9 38.6
Field Goals Attempted 85.3 89.1
Field Goal % 48.0% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 26.2 26.9
2 Pointers Attempted 46.8 55.2
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 14.7 11.6
3 Pointers Attempted 38.5 33.8
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 16.5 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 19.6
Free Throw % 79.1% 75.6%
Ball Control BOS ORL
Rebounds 50.0 49.0
Rebounds - Defensive 39.5 36.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 13.0
Turnovers 12.1 11.9
Blocked Shots 5.8 3.9
Steals 6.9 6.2
Fouls 16.0 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Orlando

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS ORL
Total Possessions 99.2
Effective Scoring Chances 97.6 100.3
% of Possessions with BOS ORL
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 34.6% 29.6%
Player Fouled 16.6% 16.1%
Turnover 12.2% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS ORL
Shot Blocked 4.4% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 24.7%