NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS DAL
Points 119.6 111.4
Total Points   231.0
Points From 2-Pointers 53.3 53.9
Points From 3-Pointers 50.3 43.9
Points From Free Throws 16.0 13.6
Shooting BOS DAL
Field Goals Made 43.4 41.6
Field Goals Attempted 91.4 93.2
Field Goal % 47.5% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 26.7 26.9
2 Pointers Attempted 48.7 52.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.8% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 16.8 14.6
3 Pointers Attempted 42.7 41.0
3 Point Shooting % 39.3% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 16.0 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 18.0
Free Throw % 79.1% 75.6%
Ball Control BOS DAL
Rebounds 53.9 49.5
Rebounds - Defensive 41.7 37.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 11.8
Turnovers 10.6 10.2
Blocked Shots 5.0 3.9
Steals 6.2 5.0
Fouls 15.7 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS DAL
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 103.3 103.3
% of Possessions with BOS DAL
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 37.0% 35.5%
Player Fouled 14.8% 15.5%
Turnover 10.4% 10.0%
Opponent Steal 4.9% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS DAL
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 22.0%