NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS BK
Points 118.8 104.5
Total Points   223.3
Points From 2-Pointers 53.4 50.1
Points From 3-Pointers 49.9 41.3
Points From Free Throws 15.5 13.1
Shooting BOS BK
Field Goals Made 43.3 38.8
Field Goals Attempted 89.7 93.1
Field Goal % 48.3% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 26.7 25.1
2 Pointers Attempted 47.8 53.9
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 16.6 13.8
3 Pointers Attempted 41.9 39.2
3 Point Shooting % 39.6% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 15.5 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 17.2
Free Throw % 79.1% 76.0%
Ball Control BOS BK
Rebounds 53.8 50.2
Rebounds - Defensive 42.0 36.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 13.7
Turnovers 10.1 10.7
Blocked Shots 6.3 3.8
Steals 5.8 5.1
Fouls 14.1 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS BK
Total Possessions 99.5
Effective Scoring Chances 101.3 102.5
% of Possessions with BOS BK
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 37.1% 33.9%
Player Fouled 15.3% 14.2%
Turnover 10.1% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS BK
Shot Blocked 4.2% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 24.6%