NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS BK
Points 119.4 105.3
Total Points   224.7
Points From 2-Pointers 53.6 51.4
Points From 3-Pointers 49.0 40.6
Points From Free Throws 16.8 13.3
Shooting BOS BK
Field Goals Made 43.1 39.2
Field Goals Attempted 89.1 93.3
Field Goal % 48.4% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 26.8 25.7
2 Pointers Attempted 47.7 54.1
2 Point Shooting % 56.2% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 16.3 13.5
3 Pointers Attempted 41.4 39.2
3 Point Shooting % 39.5% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 16.8 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 17.5
Free Throw % 80.7% 76.5%
Ball Control BOS BK
Rebounds 54.0 49.5
Rebounds - Defensive 42.1 36.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 13.5
Turnovers 10.5 10.5
Blocked Shots 5.7 3.6
Steals 5.5 5.3
Fouls 14.3 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS BK
Total Possessions 100.0
Effective Scoring Chances 101.4 103.1
% of Possessions with BOS BK
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 36.5% 33.9%
Player Fouled 16.0% 14.3%
Turnover 10.5% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS BK
Shot Blocked 4.0% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 24.3%