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Boston at Denver
Fri Nov 22, 2019
9:00pm ET
Denver, CO
Boston at Denver: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Denver by 5, Total Points: 206.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BOS | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 41-36-5 | 38-42-2 | |
| vs Division | 9-5-3 | 6-10-0 | |
| vs Conference | 24-24-4 | 22-29-1 | |
| Streak | P1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-2-2 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-5-2 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 22-17-2 | 21-19-1 | |
| Away | 19-19-3 | 17-23-1 |
Boston Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | New York | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 10/27 | Home | Miami | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Washington | -10.5 | W by 19 | +8.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Indiana | -13.0 | W by 51 | +38.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Brooklyn | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Minnesota | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Philadelphia | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Brooklyn | -12.0 | W by 14 | +2.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Toronto | -9.0 | W by 23 | +14.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | New York | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Philadelphia | -1.0 | W by 10 | +9.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Toronto | -9.0 | W by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/19 | Away | Memphis | -12.5 | W by 2 | -10.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Charlotte | -8.5 | L by 3 | -11.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Milwaukee | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Orlando | -5.5 | L by 17 | -22.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Atlanta | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Chicago | -12.5 | W by 27 | +14.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Philadelphia | -12.0 | W by 6 | -6.0 |
| 12/04 | Away | Indiana | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 12/08 | Home | New York | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Cleveland | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | Cleveland | -8.5 | W by 9 | +0.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | Orlando | -6.0 | W by 17 | +11.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Orlando | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Golden State | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Sacramento | +4.0 | W by 25 | +29.0 |
| 12/23 | Away | LA Clippers | -4.5 | W by 37 | +32.5 |
| 12/25 | Away | LA Lakers | -5.0 | W by 11 | +6.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Detroit | -17.0 | W by 6 | -11.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Toronto | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/31 | Away | San Antonio | -14.5 | W by 33 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Okla City | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Utah | -14.0 | W by 29 | +15.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Indiana | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 01/08 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Minnesota | -10.5 | W by 7 | -3.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Milwaukee | +2.0 | L by 33 | -31.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Houston | -15.0 | W by 32 | +17.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Toronto | -6.5 | W by 9 | +2.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | San Antonio | -14.5 | W by 19 | +4.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Denver | -7.0 | L by 2 | -9.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Houston | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | Dallas | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Miami | -8.5 | W by 33 | +24.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | LA Clippers | -7.0 | L by 19 | -26.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | New Orleans | -8.0 | W by 6 | -2.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Indiana | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | LA Lakers | -15.5 | L by 9 | -24.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Memphis | -19.5 | W by 40 | +20.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Atlanta | -11.5 | W by 8 | -3.5 |
| 02/09 | Home | Washington | -18.0 | W by 4 | -14.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Miami | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Brooklyn | -8.0 | W by 8 | 0.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Brooklyn | -11.5 | W by 50 | +38.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Chicago | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | New York | -6.0 | W by 14 | +8.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Philadelphia | -11.5 | W by 18 | +6.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Dallas | -8.5 | W by 28 | +19.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Golden State | -8.0 | W by 52 | +44.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Cleveland | -8.5 | L by 1 | -9.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Denver | -2.0 | L by 6 | -8.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Phoenix | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/11 | Away | Portland | -11.0 | W by 22 | +11.0 |
| 03/12 | Away | Utah | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Home | Phoenix | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Washington | -14.5 | W by 26 | +11.5 |
| 03/18 | Home | Detroit | -15.0 | W by 25 | +10.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | Milwaukee | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 03/22 | Away | Detroit | -14.0 | W by 27 | +13.0 |
| 03/23 | Away | Chicago | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 03/25 | Away | Atlanta | -10.5 | L by 2 | -12.5 |
| 03/28 | Away | Atlanta | -16.0 | L by 1 | -17.0 |
| 03/30 | Away | New Orleans | -6.0 | W by 12 | +6.0 |
| 04/01 | Away | Charlotte | -18.0 | W by 14 | -4.0 |
| 04/03 | Home | Okla City | -12.0 | W by 35 | +23.0 |
| 04/05 | Home | Sacramento | -9.0 | W by 1 | -8.0 |
| 04/07 | Home | Portland | -17.0 | W by 17 | 0.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Milwaukee | +3.5 | L by 13 | -9.5 |
| 04/11 | Home | New York | -3.0 | L by 9 | -12.0 |
| 04/12 | Home | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 33 | +25.5 |
| 04/14 | Home | Washington | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
Denver Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/24 | Home | LA Lakers | -5.0 | W by 12 | +7.0 |
| 10/27 | Away | Memphis | -6.0 | W by 4 | -2.0 |
| 10/29 | Away | Okla City | -3.5 | W by 33 | +29.5 |
| 10/30 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 8 | -1.0 |
| 11/01 | Away | Minnesota | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Dallas | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Chicago | -9.0 | W by 22 | +13.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | New Orleans | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Golden State | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Houston | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | LA Clippers | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | New Orleans | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Cleveland | -4.5 | L by 12 | -16.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 4 | -5.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Orlando | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | L by 19 | -22.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 12 | +1.5 |
| 11/27 | Away | LA Clippers | +11.0 | W by 9 | +20.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Houston | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Phoenix | -1.0 | W by 8 | +7.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Sacramento | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | LA Clippers | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Houston | -9.0 | L by 8 | -17.0 |
| 12/11 | Away | Atlanta | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 12/12 | Away | Chicago | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Brooklyn | -9.0 | W by 23 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Okla City | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Dallas | -8.0 | W by 26 | +18.0 |
| 12/20 | Away | Toronto | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Brooklyn | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Charlotte | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Golden State | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | Memphis | -9.0 | W by 37 | +28.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Okla City | -2.0 | L by 26 | -28.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | Charlotte | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | Golden State | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Orlando | -10.0 | L by 2 | -12.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Detroit | -16.0 | W by 17 | +1.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Utah | -7.0 | L by 13 | -20.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | New Orleans | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Indiana | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Philadelphia | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Boston | +7.0 | W by 2 | +9.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Washington | -12.5 | W by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Indiana | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | New York | -2.5 | L by 38 | -40.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Philadelphia | -8.0 | W by 6 | -2.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | Milwaukee | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Okla City | +6.0 | L by 5 | +1.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Portland | -14.5 | W by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Portland | -15.0 | W by 9 | -6.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | LA Lakers | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | Sacramento | +3.0 | L by 29 | -26.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | Milwaukee | +1.0 | L by 17 | -16.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Sacramento | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Washington | -15.5 | W by 20 | +4.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | Portland | -8.0 | W by 15 | +7.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Golden State | +2.0 | W by 16 | +18.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Sacramento | -9.0 | W by 21 | +12.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Miami | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | LA Lakers | -1.0 | W by 10 | +9.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Phoenix | -8.5 | L by 10 | -18.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Boston | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Utah | -12.5 | W by 21 | +8.5 |
| 03/11 | Home | Toronto | -17.0 | W by 6 | -11.0 |
| 03/13 | Away | Miami | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Dallas | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 03/21 | Home | New York | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 03/23 | Away | Portland | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 03/25 | Home | Memphis | -12.5 | W by 25 | +12.5 |
| 03/27 | Home | Phoenix | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 03/29 | Home | Minnesota | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Cleveland | -4.5 | W by 29 | +24.5 |
| 04/02 | Home | San Antonio | -15.5 | W by 5 | -10.5 |
| 04/04 | Away | LA Clippers | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 04/06 | Home | Atlanta | -10.5 | W by 32 | +21.5 |
| 04/09 | Away | Utah | -15.5 | W by 16 | +0.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | San Antonio | -11.5 | L by 1 | -12.5 |
| 04/14 | Away | Memphis | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| DEN -5.5 | Open | -4.5 | High | -5.5 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NBA season there have been 1089 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4 to 6 points. In these games:
- The team like Denver won the game 723 times (66.4%).
- The team like Boston won the game 366 times (33.6%).
- The team like Denver did better against the spread, going 546-521-22 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season there have been 1304 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Boston did better against the spread, going 642-639-23 (50.1% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.0 | -5.0 | -5.0 |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| History | |||
| 11/22 09:06 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 09:04 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 11/22 09:00 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 08:45 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 11/22 06:21 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 05:58 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 05:31 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 05:05 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 05:05 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 11/22 04:08 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 04:05 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 11/22 12:55 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 11/22 12:53 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 12:06 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 11:54 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 11/22 10:31 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 09:44 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 09:34 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/22 09:26 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 11/22 09:24 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/22 09:20 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 08:34 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/22 08:26 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 08:25 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 11/22 08:04 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/22 07:54 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 07:24 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/22 07:17 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 06:46 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 11/22 06:28 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 05:58 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 05:13 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/22 05:00 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 02:52 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 11:05 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 11/21 06:10 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 04:03 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/21 03:57 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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