NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS DET
Points 124.8 106.3
Total Points   231.1
Points From 2-Pointers 58.6 56.5
Points From 3-Pointers 46.7 35.2
Points From Free Throws 19.4 14.7
Shooting BOS DET
Field Goals Made 44.9 40.0
Field Goals Attempted 88.6 93.0
Field Goal % 50.7% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 29.3 28.2
2 Pointers Attempted 49.1 58.4
2 Point Shooting % 59.7% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 15.6 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 39.5 34.6
3 Point Shooting % 39.5% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 19.4 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 18.5
Free Throw % 80.8% 79.1%
Ball Control BOS DET
Rebounds 51.4 48.8
Rebounds - Defensive 41.0 35.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 13.1
Turnovers 9.8 12.2
Blocked Shots 7.2 3.5
Steals 7.2 4.8
Fouls 14.0 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS DET
Total Possessions 102.1
Effective Scoring Chances 102.6 103.0
% of Possessions with BOS DET
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 34.7% 29.3%
Player Fouled 17.7% 13.7%
Turnover 9.6% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 4.7% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS DET
Shot Blocked 3.8% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 24.2%