NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS TOR
Points 125.1 107.0
Total Points   232.1
Points From 2-Pointers 58.1 58.4
Points From 3-Pointers 51.2 35.5
Points From Free Throws 15.7 13.1
Shooting BOS TOR
Field Goals Made 46.2 41.0
Field Goals Attempted 92.0 94.6
Field Goal % 50.2% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 29.1 29.2
2 Pointers Attempted 48.8 59.2
2 Point Shooting % 59.6% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 17.1 11.8
3 Pointers Attempted 43.1 35.5
3 Point Shooting % 39.6% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 15.7 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 17.3
Free Throw % 80.8% 75.8%
Ball Control BOS TOR
Rebounds 54.9 47.7
Rebounds - Defensive 41.9 34.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 13.1
Turnovers 11.1 11.0
Blocked Shots 6.8 3.5
Steals 5.8 5.8
Fouls 14.0 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS TOR
Total Possessions 101.8
Effective Scoring Chances 103.7 103.9
% of Possessions with BOS TOR
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 37.1% 30.2%
Player Fouled 15.3% 13.7%
Turnover 10.9% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS TOR
Shot Blocked 3.8% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 23.8%