NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS SA
Points 120.9 107.0
Total Points   227.9
Points From 2-Pointers 59.4 55.5
Points From 3-Pointers 47.0 39.1
Points From Free Throws 14.5 12.5
Shooting BOS SA
Field Goals Made 45.4 40.8
Field Goals Attempted 93.6 94.4
Field Goal % 48.5% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 29.7 27.7
2 Pointers Attempted 53.3 56.3
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made 15.7 13.0
3 Pointers Attempted 40.3 38.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.9% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 14.5 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 16.1
Free Throw % 79.1% 77.6%
Ball Control BOS SA
Rebounds 53.8 50.9
Rebounds - Defensive 42.0 38.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 12.9
Turnovers 10.4 12.0
Blocked Shots 5.9 4.7
Steals 7.4 5.2
Fouls 13.7 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS SA
Total Possessions 102.6
Effective Scoring Chances 104.0 103.4
% of Possessions with BOS SA
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 34.6% 32.4%
Player Fouled 13.5% 13.4%
Turnover 10.2% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS SA
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 23.4%