NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS SA
Points 122.4 106.8
Total Points   229.3
Points From 2-Pointers 58.9 56.3
Points From 3-Pointers 47.5 37.7
Points From Free Throws 16.0 12.8
Shooting BOS SA
Field Goals Made 45.3 40.7
Field Goals Attempted 92.4 94.3
Field Goal % 49.0% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 29.5 28.1
2 Pointers Attempted 52.4 57.0
2 Point Shooting % 56.2% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 15.8 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 40.0 37.4
3 Point Shooting % 39.6% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 16.0 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 16.5
Free Throw % 80.8% 77.7%
Ball Control BOS SA
Rebounds 53.9 49.7
Rebounds - Defensive 42.2 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 12.6
Turnovers 10.8 12.0
Blocked Shots 5.9 4.7
Steals 7.1 5.5
Fouls 14.0 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS SA
Total Possessions 102.9
Effective Scoring Chances 103.8 103.6
% of Possessions with BOS SA
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 34.4% 31.7%
Player Fouled 14.2% 13.6%
Turnover 10.5% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS SA
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 23.0%