NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS PHO
Points 118.8 110.9
Total Points   229.8
Points From 2-Pointers 50.7 58.1
Points From 3-Pointers 51.7 37.7
Points From Free Throws 16.5 15.1
Shooting BOS PHO
Field Goals Made 42.6 41.6
Field Goals Attempted 92.4 90.9
Field Goal % 46.0% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 25.3 29.0
2 Pointers Attempted 47.5 56.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 17.2 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 44.9 34.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 16.5 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 19.0
Free Throw % 80.8% 79.6%
Ball Control BOS PHO
Rebounds 51.0 51.4
Rebounds - Defensive 38.2 38.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 12.5
Turnovers 9.7 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.7 4.3
Steals 6.9 5.2
Fouls 15.3 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS PHO
Total Possessions 101.2
Effective Scoring Chances 104.3 101.7
% of Possessions with BOS PHO
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 38.8% 29.7%
Player Fouled 15.0% 15.1%
Turnover 9.6% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS PHO
Shot Blocked 4.8% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 24.7%